Leveraging the 6th ASEAN Energy Outlook for Indonesia’s Energy Sector

On 9 March 2021, the ASEAN-German Energy Programme (AGEP) Phase II conducted its second Tea-Time Talk with GIZ Indonesia Energy Programme virtually on the 6th ASEAN Energy Outlook (AEO6). AEO6 was launched at the 38th ASEAN Ministers on Energy Meeting (AMEM) in November 2020 and is currently being disseminated under various media platforms throughout the region. The subject matter was delivered to about 30 participants by GIZ advisor, Melati Wulandari, and ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) technical officer, Sandy Fajrian, who also play an active role as one of the members of the AEO6 modeling team. They explained the methodologies and results of the publication, how the outlook presents its unique regional perspective, and how apparent it is to distinguish from other existing outlooks. The AEO6 team worked very closely with ASEAN Member States (AMS) government officials and disclosed all the development processes. It started from prioritising the official national data to discussing all assumptions and modelling approach used by each AMS. Sandy also emphasised the strong messages across different sectors, such as transportation, industry, power, residential and commercial, to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and achieve the ambitious target of 23% renewable energy share in the ASEAN energy mix by 2025.

After the presentation, a GIZ advisor from Strategic Exploration of Economic Mitigation Potential through Renewables (ExploRE), Dody Setiawan, highlighted how the AEO6 is being translated by the Indonesian government officials to the national policies level. Sandy mentioned that all the related national policies have been used in the modeling process and the AEO6 team have shared these results with the energy ministry’s representatives in a separate dedicated session where they conveyed their intention to use this modeling for their own energy planning purpose. At the end of the session, AGEP Phase II’s  principal advisor, Sergey Makarov, commented on the obvious result of the fossil fuel continuous domination until 2040, and how moving forward this regional outlook can change its tone to be more optimistic in bringing these results to the public eye.

While the AEO6 will be promoted until the third quarter of this year, the 7th ASEAN Energy Outlook (AEO7) is currently under its planning preparation process and on schedule to be launched next year at AMEM 2022. AGEP is looking forward to receiving the supports from the GIZ Energy Programme Indonesia in adding more perspective and values to one of the flagship publications of ACE. As this tea-time talk has become one of the occasional chances to gather GIZ advisors from different energy programmes, it is a very fruitful platform to exchange and update each other on current activities and potential collaboration, which participants suggested that the event can be held more often. (MW)

Note: Tea-Time Talk is a regular sharing session organised among different energy programmes of the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH to exchange knowledge and information.

 

 

 

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